Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.006211 0.006945 0.007744 0.008679 0.009747 0.010932 0.012350
2025-03-02 0.005081 0.006092 0.007284 0.008802 0.010697 0.013002 0.016042
2025-03-09 0.004378 0.005491 0.006875 0.008739 0.011210 0.014414 0.018940
2025-03-16 0.003767 0.004891 0.006346 0.008393 0.011240 0.015125 0.020933
2025-03-23 0.003403 0.004553 0.006096 0.008352 0.011629 0.016310 0.023682
2025-03-30 0.003239 0.004459 0.006150 0.008717 0.012601 0.018409 0.028038
2025-04-06 0.002919 0.004109 0.005804 0.008454 0.012601 0.019035 0.030167
2025-04-13 0.002657 0.003817 0.005509 0.008227 0.012615 0.019662 0.032352
2025-04-20 0.002484 0.003638 0.005364 0.008210 0.012946 0.020819 0.035581
2025-04-27 0.002398 0.003584 0.005399 0.008476 0.013761 0.022869 0.040692
2025-05-04 0.002256 0.003429 0.005262 0.008443 0.014059 0.024043 0.044332
2025-05-11 0.002145 0.003315 0.005179 0.008490 0.014494 0.025508 0.048745
2025-05-18 0.002001 0.003142 0.004995 0.008359 0.014623 0.026467 0.052408
2025-05-25 0.001912 0.003052 0.004944 0.008462 0.015202 0.028380 0.058462
2025-06-01 0.001803 0.002922 0.004813 0.008403 0.015459 0.029678 0.063382
2025-06-08 0.001661 0.002725 0.004548 0.008072 0.015143 0.029753 0.065486
2025-06-15 0.001578 0.002623 0.004444 0.008033 0.015410 0.031091 0.070858
2025-06-22 0.001557 0.002629 0.004536 0.008381 0.016514 0.034406 0.081834
2025-06-29 0.001454 0.002483 0.004335 0.008130 0.016313 0.034745 0.085117
2025-07-06 0.001365 0.002354 0.004159 0.007914 0.016165 0.035187 0.088770
2025-07-13 0.001307 0.002281 0.004083 0.007897 0.016459 0.036721 0.095812
2025-07-20 0.001286 0.002274 0.004134 0.008151 0.017399 0.039979 0.108628
2025-07-27 0.001233 0.002204 0.004055 0.008119 0.017666 0.041570 0.116749